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Global Markets Analysis – 16 December 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


16.12.2014 周二 国际原油未止跌前油脂商品依旧疲软

美豆油3月主力合约,期价未能形成短线上的错列上行,期价上穿箱体下部后,未能得以延续,仍处于箱体位置横盘震荡,如此一来市场又转为疲软。

美原油一成不变继续保持惯性下挫,周二早盘又见54.75低价,仍往50.00美元整数关口发起挑战。

大陆内盘豆油与棕榈油1505合约,周二盘面再次走低,其中棕榈油1505合约还创出本轮下行的新低4948元/吨,短线内盘油脂商品出现走坏迹象。

马盘毛棕榈油基准2月,周二跳空低开低走,疲软态势再现,上方60天线屡攻不破,市场存在选择向下运行的可能,下方前低2100一线存在考验。

小结:美原油屡创新低,对全球油脂商品的拖累作用仍存,受国际原油下跌情绪影响,美豆油、内盘豆油、棕榈油、马盘毛棕榈油又出现下探走势苗头,在美原油未找到具体支撑位前,恐油脂类商品仍以疲软走势为主,密切关注下方下探空间大小。个人观点认为日内空单逢高短空当天进出不过夜。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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