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Global Markets Analysis – 16 December 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


16.12.2015 周三 美原油超跌反弹 植物油回落整理延续

国际原油市场动荡不安,背后黑手涌动,地缘因素、政治因素、资金大鳄翻手为云覆手为雨,明争暗斗,刀光剑影刻意打压。美盘原油昨日晚间终于超跌之后出现红盘报复性反弹,空头减仓与多头抄底呐喊声中小幅上涨,今天亚洲早盘又继续高开高走,不计成本的刻意打压之后的短线反弹迹象开始显露,后市存在反弹上行机会。

美盘豆油3月,短线走势变化不大,依旧是短线下挫回落整理态势,继续等待下方均线的支撑确认,建议继续短空看待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,追随美盘下挫,盘中回落整理走势良好,短线回落整理观点不变。

马盘毛棕榈油基准2月,昨日周二盘中长阴大跌,宣布上周五12月11日的单日上涨功亏一篑,终于短线与其它油脂品种走势归于一致,符合我们的预期,后市继续短空观点看待。

小结:油脂类商品回抽均线的下挫整理行情延续中,盘中尚未见到明显的回落整理结束信号,我们继续保持短空观点,耐心等待真正的止跌企稳。观点认为操作上: 长线多单持有,中线锁仓规避风险,短线反手空单持有。其中短线角度单边空单耐心等待下方的平仓出局机会。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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