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Global Markets Analysis – 16 February 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


16.02.2015 周一美国总统纪念日(每年2月第三个星期一)休市停盘

在缺少美盘油脂商品的走势指引,大陆内盘油脂类商品今天期价小幅波动,更由于临近国内7天春节长假,内盘主力和散户均人心不稳;交投清淡,传统节日气氛浓厚。

马盘毛棕榈油基准4月,周一早盘跳空高开补涨,期价开盘位置恰好位于前高一线,但由于缺少美盘的明确指引,形成高开低走态势,但盘中反弹动能扔未衰竭。据最新消息,吉隆坡2月16日电,马来西亚将毛棕榈油出口关税维持为零延期到3月份,这对马盘棕榈油存在一定利好支持。

小结:大陆内盘交易者长假假期过节心情浓厚,一年一度的中国传统节日思念家人和全家团聚心理急切,期货市场上交投萎靡,期价十字星整理波动不大。个人认为继续对全球油脂类商品保持反弹上行短线观点不变。通常在内盘7天以上长假时候,金融市场上总会出现较大的市场波动,对于这种不确定的系统性风险,我们心理上一定要有个提前认识。个人观点认为油脂类商品前期低位接盘多单继续持有,谨慎型稳健操作者可于最后一两天的交易日适当减仓也是可取的。建议后市密切关注外围市场假期期间新的变化。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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