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Global Markets Analysis – 16 June 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


16.06.2015 周二 后市密切关注下方60天均线处的支撑作用

美盘豆油12月,今天周二亚洲电子早盘红盘小阳K线,期价回落到40天平均价格处略有止跌,但技术上观察反弹之后的回落整理还未完全到位,盘中还不曾出现再次转强迹象,仅仅是回落当中的短暂停留,但下方的60天均线处(32.50)可能会出现强有力支撑。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,周二早盘低开高走红盘报收,期价临近40-60天均线附近,从回落整理短线角度来说,当期价靠近下方40天均线与60天均线之间位置时候,就是需要我们谨慎时候,特别是短线追随盘面节奏的短空操作者,在后市下方60天均线处可考虑适当逢低减持上周的短线空单。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,马盘棕榈油的下挫整理是油脂类其他品种中表现最为具有抵抗性的品种,连续几日的低开小阳下挫整理,强势整理最为明显,当前期价回踩均线仅来到下方的20天均价附近,回落幅度最小,但同样存在调整不充分情况。

小结:全球油脂类商品的短线回落整理行情进行中,盘中仍然尚未见到结束信号的出现,仅仅在思维上,建议要对下方的60天均线位置保持警惕,后市带期价临近该位置,前期短线空单操作者可逢低空单减仓离场。中长线操作者密切关注美盘豆油走势,因为是长多短空双向锁单持仓,个人观点认为操作上可待调整信号完全明确后再空单离场,暂时可继续锁单场外观望。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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