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Global Markets Analysis – 16 March 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


16.03.2015 周一 油脂类商品下探行情延续中

油脂类商品短线的下探回落整理行情延续中,盘中疲软走势依旧很明显,短线的下探寻支撑走势已经进行了2周时间。其中美盘豆油5月期价正逐步靠近30.00一线,密切关注前低2015年1月29日 29.56位置的表现。能否出现短线的双重底将会在本周的5个交易日内给出答案。

大陆内盘豆油与棕榈油1509主力合约,周一早盘继续追随美盘豆油下挫,今天盘中见低点后收起,留出长下影线,表明下方存在部分多头接盘,今天的长下影线是否为金针探底K线,尚待我们随后几天的观察,当前大陆内盘豆油与棕榈油下蹲寻支撑短线走势进行中。

马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,前几日回落整理短线行情进行中,盘中虽有抵抗性护盘迹象,但回落整理走势依旧调整的不够充分,在最完美整理信号结束出现前,完美短线仍然以疲软短空观点看待。考虑到周边外围市场油脂类商品的下挫,今天周一早盘马盘棕榈油5月存在低开低走可能。

小结:美元指数的冲高上行走势,令全球期货市场大宗商品承压严重,油脂类商品的下挫整理行情延续中,美豆油已经靠近下方30.00整数关口,建议后市密切关注接近前低29.56时候的市场表现,若支撑有效我们随时准备多单低位接盘,在这之前我们短线仍以疲软看待。个人观点认为短线空单逢高做空,遇急跌日内见好就平,建议不持仓过夜。准备低位接盘中线多单操作者先场外观望一下,暂时不急于进场。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 










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