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Global Markets Analysis – 16 November 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


16.11.2015周一 马来西亚棕榈油局(MPOB)报告数据利空;马盘棕榈出现大幅下跌

美盘大豆与美盘豆油12月合约,仍延续短线的下探走势,虽然期价波动幅度较小, 但下方寻支撑的过程仍继续中,盘中重心下移。

美盘黄金连上周末金针探底后,今天周一早盘中阳上涨,日图表上出现短线转强迹象。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,期价追随美盘豆油走势,短线呈疲软状态,多空主力日内交投不旺,场内观望气氛较浓,成交量继续萎缩。

马来西亚毛棕榈油基准1月,受国内基本面利空因素影响,上周五长阴K线下跌,今天周一早盘期价又跌破原区间箱体的下沿位置,短线出现走弱迹象。有消息称:马来西亚棕榈油局(MPOB)发布的月度报告显示,2015年10月底的棕榈油库存高于预期,创下15年来最高水平。马来西亚棕榈油10月库存为283.4万吨,比9月底的264.2万吨增长7.29%。马盘棕榈油受利空因素影响严重。

小结:美盘与内盘油脂类商品短线走势仍在正常理解范围内,继续保持原来的小幅震荡下挫寻支撑走势。马盘毛棕榈油基准1月当前短线走势出现走坏,2天来期价下跌幅度较大,短线恐仍下挫。个人建议操作上:内盘油脂商品多单继续持有。马盘棕榈油多单谨慎持有,看今天单日一天的下坡箱体是否可靠并且关注下方60天均线2220一线的支撑力度,为规避马盘棕榈下挫带来的不利影响,可跨品种在黄金市场适量多单跟进埋伏一些。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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