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Global Markets Analysis – 16 October 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


16.10.2015 周五 大陆内盘油脂商品短线多单适量减仓

美盘豆油12月合约,当前短线角度在反弹到60天线位置后出现震荡徘徊,该品种若不能尽快脱离该技术阻挡位,这对短线多头来说不是好情况,(这会招致空头主力在关键技术位的打压力量出现)久盘必跌现象恐成为现实,因此短线上要时刻保持对美盘豆油的关注。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,在期价连续震荡反弹上行过程中,盘升动能在期价上移过程中逐渐会出现减弱,这是反弹上行过程中难以避免的现象, 如果不能继续表现强势,如果再得不到美盘豆油的支持,待上行动能衰竭便会出现期价下滑的可能,这是当前内盘油脂商品所需要注意的地方。今天周五早盘期价曾一度低开低走,后尾盘略有升高,今天的日内走势已经出现预警信号,若期价不能再继续上涨,部分短线多单者可开始考虑多单适当逢高减仓一下的时候了。

马盘毛棕榈油基准12月,期价仍抵抗性整理中,短线角度的回落整理尚未完全结束,今天周五盘面期价在小幅波动,整体操作价值不高,建议继续短线观望思维对待。

小结:美盘油脂商品举步艰难,期价卡在半空中,是上是下?略显犹豫。大陆内盘油脂勉强尽量维持前期反弹走势,但今天早盘的盘面特征让我们产生了警惕信号,后市期价若不能再继续发力上行,建议要准备好逢高减仓的思想准备,不然待盘中真的发生反弹结束信号再考虑就会在时间点上略显迟疑。马盘棕榈油期价小幅波动,成交清淡,继续短线场外观望。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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