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Global Markets Analysis – 17 April 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


17.04.2017 周一 油脂类商品多单持有

今天周一亚洲电子盘,美黄豆连跳空高开,短线反弹上扬走势更为明显。在当前基本面南美大豆丰产后产量上调与美国大豆播种面积增加不利情况下,当前期价已经在“包涵”了基本面情况,市场投资人士也都吸收消化认可了该基本面。也就是说最恶略的情况已经在价格里得到体现—–后市“天气炒作”若出现个风吹草动,则期价上扬的概率大增(下挫无空间 )。美盘豆油5月合约,在美豆出现低位拐点苗头后,虽豆油期价反弹走势不明显,但我们以及不下看很多,继续保持中线回落整理后的短线探底观点不变。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,今天周一早盘红盘上涨表现,由于缺少美盘豆油的指引(4.14假期停盘 今天晚间才开盘),在下午时段期价出现下挫,全天整体呈波动震荡状态,期价波动不大。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月(或6月),今天周一早盘期价跳空高开,上周五的短线急挫被遏制,虽然短线反弹走势尚不明确,但我们已经保持超卖之后的下探寻拐点观点不变。

小结:内盘马盘油脂商品今天周一盘面期价波动不大,呈现小幅波动震荡状态,均在等待美盘豆油的具体方向指引,我们继续保持下探寻支撑拐点的观点不变。操作上:前期多单低位新进多单均继续持有,等待美盘豆油开盘后的进一步表现。

[SUMMARY]
• Movement of China and Malaysia edible oils is mild on Monday, awaiting clearer signals from US soybean.

[ACTION]
• Traders may enter maintain or new long position, as we await US soybean oil to resume trading.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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