Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 17 August 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


17.08.2016 周三 油脂类商品短线角度的反弹上行行情加速中

国际原油市场期价反弹行情延续中,纽约原油短线角度已经上涨了11个交易日。美盘豆油12月合约,在前期震荡上行之后,当前期价正处于快速拔高加速阶段,正冲这前高(2016年4月21日35.81高点)发起冲刺,该位置是我们短线角度的第一预期目标位,我们后市继续密切关注在逐步靠近该位置时候的整体市场表现。当前时刻,在市场反弹上行动能未衰竭前继续保持短多观点,内心深处时刻保持那份警惕心理准备。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,追随美盘豆油短线走势,期价不断震荡走高。随着中国大陆中秋节临近,消费市场的提前备货(超前一个月)心理利好预期下,中国现货市场油脂商品也随之水涨船高,特别是国内棕榈油当前各大港口总库存仅仅只有30万吨的超低水平,(国内棕榈油月消耗最少需要40万吨),不足一个月的使用量,显示非常支持期货市场油脂商品的期价走高。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,在昨日周二盘中,期价曾一度走低,昨日棕榈油基准11月增仓下行表明有短线空头进场逢高打压,(棕榈油10月减仓下行-为部分短线多头获利盘逢高平仓兑现了结),在周边外围市场如美原油、美豆油、大陆内盘油脂商品继续走强心理提振下,今天周三盘中,马盘毛棕榈油期价又继续走高,其中10月期价已经突破4月21日的前高点,盘中短线的反弹上涨加速迹象较为明显,我们继续保持短多思维不变前提下的随时准备多单逢高平仓的观点不变。

小结:全球油脂类商品的短线反弹上行态势延续中,随着期价的不断走高,短线多单的获利盘会越来越丰厚,任何盘中的风吹草动都会引来获利盘的涌出,我们在保持短线反弹上行观点不变的前提下,时刻以谨慎心态提前做好心理准备,坚决不让到手的利润再化为乌有。观点认为具体操作上:继续短多思维,前期多单可继续持有,当然期价越高越好-但短线交易者时刻做好逢高平仓了结,兑现利润的心理准备。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock