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Global Markets Analysis – 17 December 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


17.12.2015 周四 美联储宣布加息

北京时间周四(12月17日)凌晨三点,美联储12月宣布加息25个基点,将联邦基金利率目标区间上调至0.25-0.50%,为近十年来首次加息,标志着美国零利率时代的结束,加息周期的开始。并表示未来加息路径将取决于美国真实经济的前景变化。分析:本次美联储加息会议基本符合金融投资人士的普遍预期,并未给全球金融市场带来灾难性的后果,部分投资人对美元加息的恐惧心理将会慢慢平息。

美盘豆油3月,短线的回落整理延续中,盘面显示下挫走势更为明显,我们继续保持短空观点,密切关注下方具体支撑位在何处。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,今天周四早盘期价低开低走,延续前期的回落整理态势,短线走势上符合我们的预期,短线空单继续持有。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,本周以来4个交易日呈现4连阴K线下跌,期价重心有所下移,短线角度走势上逐步与美盘豆油与大陆内盘油脂商品趋于一致,短线回落整理进行中。

小结:全球油脂类商品短线角度的回落整理仍在进行中,在未出现明显的结束信号之前,我们继续保持短空观点不变。观点认为操作上:同样延续前期操作模式–长线多单持有,中线锁单持有,短线空单持有。建议继续密切关注盘中的回落幅度与下方均线的具体支撑力度。当前油脂商品短线走势无新意,基本符合我们之前的预期。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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