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Global Markets Analysis – 17 February 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


17.02.2015 周二 大陆内盘春节假期前最后一个交易日

2月17日周二,美盘豆油3月亚洲电子盘当前期价已经站上60天线之上,初步击穿原箱体下沿的阻挡,运行于32.00-34.00箱体内,我们早先说过,当期价击穿箱体上沿的阻挡才是行情真正转势的时候,因此后市美盘豆油的走势非常关键。是否会在内盘7天假期内有一番行动是我们关注的焦点。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油主力合约1505,短线角度的反弹上行延续中,其中棕榈油1505合约期价已经站上60天线。但由于一年一度的传统节日,内盘市场投资者整体沉浸在欢度春节气氛当中,市场交投不旺,期价窄幅十字星波动,今天是内盘假期前最后一个交易日,当前心态下 恐市场短线变化不大,尚待春节过后的市场表现。

马盘毛棕榈油基准4月,在期价反弹上行到一月中旬时候的前高位置,短线整理走势明显,已经连续7连阴高位震荡,冲击前高前的主动回落整理行情延续中,在反弹动能未衰竭前,在未出现明显的技术走坏前,我们仍短线以反弹上行观点看待。

美原油震荡反弹上行行情延续中,虽然期价反弹过程中上冲动能略显不足,但步步走高态势仍存,在临近日图表60天线最后一根均线阻挡前,市场略有犹豫,是否能上穿均线成为我们后市对美原油的关注焦点。

小结:油脂类商品反弹上行行情延续中,虽盘中存在犹豫徘徊心态,但只要未出现明显技术走坏,个人认为反弹上行短线观点保持不变。建议后市密切关注假期期间美盘原油与豆油的市场表现。不排除假期过后市场出现大的波动行情。个人建议前期低位接盘多单继续持有。

Tony Tong – 补充:春节将至,祝公司全体同仁新春快乐和合家欢乐。并遥祝马来西亚华人朋友身体健康和羊年行大运!

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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