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Global Markets Analysis – 17 June 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


17.06.2015 周三 美盘豆油昨晚收涨;
一根阳K线尚不足说明短线的回落整理结束

美盘豆油12月合约,周二晚间红盘上涨,期价暂40天线收到支撑,但一根中阳K线不足以说明调整结束,只能提醒我们前期短线的回落整理接近尾声阶段,建议后市密切关注该品种的具体表现。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,本波回落整理早于美盘豆油2天,因此在整理上较为充分。今天周三盘中部分多头增仓,但就此就确认回落已经结束还为时尚早,稳健者暂多观察几日。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,回落整理延续中,盘中下挫幅度较少,强势整理的态势较为明显,下方回落的空间被收窄,但就此就扭转向上的信号还不是最明确,继续观察美盘与内盘对该品种的影响。

小结:油脂商品的回落下挫短线行情进行中,尚未出现明确的技术信号宣布调整技术。个人认为中长线操作者由于是多空单子双向锁仓,不管期价如何变化,账面数字已经被锁定,所以完全么必要以想象操作,待技术明确后再解仓不迟。短线空单操作者进入回落整理结束的后备预警期,后市在盘中出现止跌企稳第一信号前,时刻准备好逢低空单了结出场的准备,下方空间越来越小,建议在思维上先做好思想准备。密切关注下方60天线的支撑效应。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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