Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 17 June 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


17.06.2016 周五 本周5个交易日四阴一阳;疲软下挫态势依旧

从本周(6月13日-6月17日)技术观察全球油脂类商品的短线走势-可清晰看到连续的4根阴K线下挫走势,在关键技术位受阻后的短线回落下挫整理行情较为明显,期价下跌幅度较大,无论美盘豆油也好或大陆内盘油脂商品也罢,均出现不同程度的下跌,特别是马盘毛棕榈油的下挫幅度更为惊人,在季节性产量高峰期,对后期商品出口需求疲软担忧(斋月过后需求不明朗)、马币令吉特的坚挺走强、马来西亚7月棕榈油出口关税将上调至6%,6月为5.5% 等等不利因素,对马来西亚棕榈油的期价下跌带来严重影响。

在全球油脂粒商品连续多日阴跌之后,今天周五盘面上略有红盘表现-这是对本周连续下挫之后的一种短暂修复表现,不代表短线的回落行情已经结束,我们不能被今天的小阳K线干扰,继续保持短空思维对待,耐心等待市场真正的止跌企稳时刻。

小结:英国退出欧盟的消息传闻,打压全球投资人的信心-对全球经济形势的普遍担忧,全球商品综合指数CRB-同样出现一定程度下跌,表明全球大宗期货商品均有不同程度普遍下跌(仅有黄金因避险功能,期价略有上涨)。我们关注的油脂类商品期货市场走势仍为下挫延续中,继续短空疲软态势对待。观点认为具体操作上: 前期高位空单继续持有。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock