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Global Markets Analysis – 17 June 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong

17.06.2016 周五 本周5个交易日四阴一阳;疲软下挫态势依旧

从本周(6月13日-6月17日)技术观察全球油脂类商品的短线走势-可清晰看到连续的4根阴K线下挫走势,在关键技术位受阻后的短线回落下挫整理行情较为明显,期价下跌幅度较大,无论美盘豆油也好或大陆内盘油脂商品也罢,均出现不同程度的下跌,特别是马盘毛棕榈油的下挫幅度更为惊人,在季节性产量高峰期,对后期商品出口需求疲软担忧(斋月过后需求不明朗)、马币令吉特的坚挺走强、马来西亚7月棕榈油出口关税将上调至6%,6月为5.5% 等等不利因素,对马来西亚棕榈油的期价下跌带来严重影响。


小结:英国退出欧盟的消息传闻,打压全球投资人的信心-对全球经济形势的普遍担忧,全球商品综合指数CRB-同样出现一定程度下跌,表明全球大宗期货商品均有不同程度普遍下跌(仅有黄金因避险功能,期价略有上涨)。我们关注的油脂类商品期货市场走势仍为下挫延续中,继续短空疲软态势对待。观点认为具体操作上: 前期高位空单继续持有。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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