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Global Markets Analysis – 17 March 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


17.03.2017 周五 油脂类商品短线盘面多空转换频繁 多单持有

美元指数短线下挫走势明显,美盘原油止跌企稳后出现反身上行态势。 美黄豆连,美盘豆油5月合约,期价开始右侧横盘迹象出现,期价已经略有止跌——今天周五亚洲电子盘上更是以小阳K线表现。继续等待美盘豆油短线走势的最新指引。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1705主力合约,今天内盘豆油短线止跌飘红,虽然期价涨幅不大,但下方回落空间已经收窄。内盘棕榈油经过前日,昨日(本周三 周四2天)2根阳K线上涨,期价已经出现止跌反弹迹象,今天周五盘面虽然以小阴K线表现,但期价已经反弹到一定高度,只要期价不吞没前2日的红盘上涨空间,继续短多观点对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,该品种比内盘棕榈油更早一天率先反弹(本周二就开始的),在连续的3根阳K线(三根红小兵K线)之后,当前期价已经上涨到3.6日的前高附近(马棕榈盘面转换频率较快,3天快速下挫, 然后又是3天快速反弹),演绎“过山车”盘面特征非常明显。今日周五盘中以十字星表现—马棕榈在等待美盘豆油的后续支持。

小结:美盘豆油 内盘豆油短线止跌,马盘棕榈内盘棕榈短线走强—-油脂类商品整体短线转强迹象明显起来,我们根据盘面最新变化,开始转为短多观点对待。具体操作上:在连续几次建议空单逢低平仓出局后,我们散户朋友此刻只剩余新老多单—-多单继续持有。等待下周油脂商品的最新变化指引。

[SUMMARY]
• US and China soybean oils halt short-term decline, as Malaysia and China palm oils strengthen.
• With edible oils becoming more visibly bullish, we shall adopt a short-term long outlook.

[ACTION]
• After closing-out short positions when prices were low, traders may initiate or retain existing long positions.
• We shall closely observe the performance of edible oils next week.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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