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Global Markets Analysis – 17 November 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


17.11.2015 周二 美盘豆油下方回落空间在逐步收窄

美盘大豆与豆油仍在低位区域小幅震荡,其中美豆油12月昨日晚间十字星小阳K线,带下影收盘,下方的空间被压缩,期价呈抵抗性下探性质的寻支撑,后市短线下跌空间被封杀后,期价反弹的技术要求必将展开。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,今天周二早盘继续追随美盘豆油走势震荡,其中豆油1601呈抵抗横盘波动,棕榈油1601呈下挫性重心下移,建议密切关注棕榈油1601在8月27日前低位置的吃撑力度,若该位置支撑有效,后市存在反弹上行机会。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,受马来西亚棕榈油库存创多年来记录的利空因素影响,上周五与本周一连续2天长阴下跌,昨日期价回落到60天均线 2220位置后略有支撑,今天周二早盘又跳空高开,马盘棕榈多空主力争夺激烈,盘中独立个性行情演绎中。

小结:美盘豆油抵抗性下探整理,低价区域的底部夯实动作延续中,当前的回落整理行情已经持续了较长时间,建议密切关注美豆油的止跌企稳后的反弹上行机会。个人观点认为大陆内盘油脂商品多单继续持仓不动。马盘毛棕榈油昨日的惯性下跌,我们未建议短空跟进,继续关注马棕榈的单日下破的技术可靠性,无仓者继续观望。原本多单继续持仓不动,静观后市在60天均线处的表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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