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Global Markets Analysis – 17 October 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


17.10.2016 周一 全球油脂类商品长阳飙涨;我们上周埋伏进去多单继续持有

在美国大豆出口量激增,对未来刚性需求强劲的乐观预期,抵消了上周三美国农业部公布的略带利空的各类数据的不利影响(吸收并且消化了利空基本面)。上周五晚间,美盘豆油12月合约长阳红盘飙涨3%左右,今天周一亚洲电子盘又继续中阳红盘表现-美盘豆油反弹上行走势又终于明朗化,我们继续保持短多思维的良好预期。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,受美盘豆油飙涨提振,今天周一早盘也出现长阳上涨,其中棕榈油1701合约高开高走封于涨停板(涨幅4.99%), 豆油1701合约也大幅飙涨4.88%一线,距离涨停板也仅仅10来个点之差,如果多头主力再接着发力,豆油1701封于涨停也不是没有可能,内盘油脂商品瞬间形势明朗化,我们继续多单乐观持有。

马盘毛棕榈油基准12月,受美盘与大陆内盘油脂商品整体走强带动,今天周一早盘跳空高开高走,期价上涨幅度截止上午10点50分也达到3.53%,盘中高点已经达到5年来新高度,我们上周埋伏进去的多单继续支持,继续短多思维观点不变。

小结:全球油脂类商品普遍走高,上周我们提前埋伏进去的多单在本周初终于得到回报(值得欣慰),当前油脂类商品短、中、长各个周期的反弹上行走势变得明朗起来,后市期价仍有浓厚的上冲动能,我们继续保持短多思维模式不变。观点认为操作上:一句话-多单继续持有。

[SUMMARY]
• Overall global edible oil rise.
• Our outlook last week of entering long positions is paying off: short, medium and long-term edible oil are seeing an upward reversal.
• Upward momentum is strong.
• We shall maintain our outlook.

[ACTION]
• Traders may maintain long positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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