Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 17 September 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


17.09.2015 周四 短线多单平仓离场;今天适当仓量反手短空

国际原油昨日晚间大幅走高,其中纽约原油连中阳K线上涨,短线再次出现走强迹象。美盘原油的走高却丝毫未带动起美盘豆油的做多热情,美豆油12月依然表现为阴阳K线的横盘震荡状态,不为外界所动,由此看来美盘豆油的上方压力依然很大。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601合约,期价窄幅波动,盘中成交不活跃,短线走势无新意,市场观望气氛依然较浓,内盘油脂类商品在窄幅抵抗震荡中等待美盘豆油走势的指引,在美盘无明显变化前,大陆内盘豆油棕榈油仍将维持当前模糊走势。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,在昨日公共假期停盘后,今天周四早盘跳空低开,延续了周二的冲高回落走势,宣布马盘毛棕榈油前期短线的反弹上行暂告一个段落, 后市短线将呈回落整理态势,期价的重心下移不可避免,短线以短空观点看待马盘毛棕榈油。

小结:美盘豆油走势依然疲软,大陆内盘油脂无所适从状跟随。马盘毛棕榈油11月由于前期连续多日独立反弹上行后,上方堆积较多的短多获利筹码,在技术出现超买信号后,盘中任何的风吹草动都会引起获利盘的涌出,前2日的担心终于在今天盘面上得到确认,马盘的反弹行情暂告结束,后市短线转为看空。个人观点认为在美盘豆油未出现明显下挫情况下,内盘与马盘原中长线多单暂时继续持有。马盘短线多单已经提示分2次平仓了结,今天建议内盘短线多单也平仓离场。短线多单全部离场后,今天可适当仓量反手空单进场,仓量建议以中长线多单仓量相当,本次空单反手主要操作目的不为盈利,(纯技术型操作)只为对锁原来长线多单由于期价的下挫所带来的账面损失,仓单对锁后能有效规避该风险。锁单期间依旧密切关注美盘豆油的短线表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock