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Global Markets Analysis – 18 April 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


18.04.2017 周二 美盘豆油昨日晚间中阳上涨 继续观察今日晚间的动向

昨日周一晚间,美盘豆油7月合约中阴K线红盘上涨,期价靠近横盘整理小区间的上沿位置,由于未突破该位置(上沿),尚不能给予内盘马盘油脂商品多头主力坚定的信心—我们继续关注后市是否出现错列的2根阳K线出现,并且突破横盘震荡的高点之上。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,昨日美盘豆油的中阳K线未完全带动起内盘多头主力的积极性(美盘豆油只上涨到区间上沿高点位置,并未完全突破过去),内盘油脂商品还处于横盘波动震荡的区间内,虽早盘期价略有走高,但午后期价再度下挫。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,由于对马来西亚棕榈油产量增加的担忧,马棕榈期价下挫迹象明显,在接连几日的阴K线表现,好在期价下挫的幅度并不是很深,属于抵抗性波动震荡探底。

小结:美盘豆油未走出明显的上扬态势—-至少还缺一根阳K线来突破低位横盘波段状态的上沿位置,因此上对马盘内盘油脂商品的带动作用还不是很明显(内盘油脂还是区间横盘波动),今天美盘豆油电子盘的走弱,拖累了内盘马盘油脂商品的表现—–我们继续关注美盘豆油的后续表现。操作上:保持原观点不变,前期多单继续持有。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean is yet to show a clear uptrend, limiting the impact it has on Malaysia and China edible oils.

[ACTION]
• Traders may retain long position.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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