Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 18 August 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


18.08.2017周五美盘油脂类商品下挫到关键技术位置期价出现反复

美盘黄豆连下挫到前低附近,美盘豆油12月合约一度瞬间毛刺下破60天均线的支撑—–美盘油脂商品正处于关键技术位附近,本波回落整理接近短线调整的“尾声阶段”,我们在本周末下周初以谨慎的短空观点看待的同时,要时刻防止期价突然“触底”之后的反身动作出现,继续关注下方的技术支撑力度。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1801主力合约,短线期价只回抽到下方40天均线位置就不再下跌(40天来的平均价格),而距离下方60天均线只一步之遥,却死活不下来,今天周五红盘小阳K线表现,盘面上短多的护盘动作仍比较明显。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月(或10月),本周三期价下坠,但昨日周四盘面又再度跳上去,今天周五盘中十字星红盘表现,马棕榈的短线的强势特征依旧较为明显,周边外围市场对马盘棕榈油影响力渐小—-马棕榈油跟涨不跟跌的盘面特征较前期来说更为明显。

小结:本周美盘油脂类商品受利空情绪影响较重(单产上调,库存上调),期价下挫的幅度也远大于内盘与马盘油脂商品,考虑到美盘油脂商品回落整理接近尾声阶段,再考虑到内盘马盘油脂商品拒绝下挫的盘面特征,我们部分散户朋友手中剩余的空单风险在一天天增大,对于一直没有找到空单平仓好机会的散户朋友来说——最多在下周初空单尽量能平仓出局,接下来我们下周的重点将转移逢低多单埋伏操作上来,在这里我们提前说明一下,好让大家心理上有个准备的时间。

[SUMMARY]
• In this week, US edible oils dropped sharply as the production and the end of stock on US edible oils increase.
• The sharp drop on the market of US edible oils is more serious than the markets of China and Malaysia edible oils.
• It appears the downward correction on the markets of China and Malaysia edible oils is likely to end.

[ACTION]
• Retail traders who are holding short positions may seek opportunity to close-out all positions from early next week.
• On next week, trader may initiate long position when the prices are low.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock