Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 18 December 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


18.12.2015 周五 油脂类商品回落整理进行中;短线操作者开始考虑逢低空单平仓了结

美盘豆油3月合约,从日K线图表上观察,从11月中旬开始的短线反弹上行之后,当前期价冲高回落整理依然在进行中,回落幅度接近50%左右(略差一点点火候), 期价恰好回落到10月22日前高点30.00附近(该位置不排除存在技术支撑的可能),虽然短线的回落尚未出现明显技术上结束信号,但由于在操作思维上,我们把本波下挫整理是以回抽均线看待的,在回撤到50%左右(29.40一线),如果该位置还存在任何的技术支撑位,这都需要引起我们短线操作者的警惕。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,当前追随美盘豆油走势回落整理,其中豆油1605合约,在今天周五上午盘中期价已经触及到下方60天均线位置(5465一线),基本上达到回撤均线的目的,虽然今天盘中未出现明显的止跌信号,但短线空单基本达到回落幅度的第一目标预期,在基本调整到位时候,建议可以考虑短线空单逢低离场,后市短线不再盲目看空很多。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,连续几日的阴K线下挫后,今天周五盘中低开高走红盘表现,期价回落幅度也接近前期反弹上行高度的一半左右(稍微略超出),也建议下周开始短线操作者先准备逢低空单离场。

小结:全球油脂类商品本周下挫的回落整理进行中,截止到本周末,期价越下挫到下方低位,短线交易者越要打起精神,由于是短线回落观点看待,因此操作上不可盲目贪婪,时刻警惕下方的支撑作用。观点认为具体操作上:长线多单持有,中线多空锁单仓单持有,这里特别提醒短线交易者-短线的空单可以考虑逢低部分减仓(内盘),下周若出现止跌企稳信号(马盘)可空单离场,我们在思维上要提前做好准备。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock