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Global Markets Analysis – 18 January 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


18.01.2016 周一 美盘公共假期停盘;内盘与马盘油脂商品走强

今天2016年1月18日周一,美国期货市场因公共假期而停盘(马丁.路德金纪念日),美盘豆油今天无交易。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆粕1605合约,今天周一早盘发力长阳暴涨(涨幅2.20%左右)。同时带动内盘豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约也出现中阳K线上涨。其中内盘豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约在连续4天在60天均线位置受到支撑,期价拒绝下破技术走势较为明显,今天早盘在空头回补以及短多主力进场双重力量支持下期价走高。在上周五时候,我们报告中曾建议短线交易者多单可进场埋伏,鉴于今天的内盘油脂商品走势,短线多单可继续谨慎持有。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,在马来西亚令吉特持续疲软以及马来西亚棕榈油产量下降的预期下,马盘棕榈油短线的走高迹象更为明显,下方的下行空间被封堵。后市只要期价能延续站在60天均线上方,日K线图表上多头排列的均线系统仍存在一定技术支撑。上周五时候我们同样建议场外观望的短线交易者逢低多单进场试仓。后市在美盘与内盘带动下仍有走高机会。

小结:大陆内盘与马盘油脂商品今天周一盘中率先走强,短线角度的多头主力出现发力迹象,等待美盘豆油开盘后的支持。上周末时分我们曾建议短线多单技术型多单埋伏进场试仓,今天周一马盘与内盘油脂商品的表现上观察,个人认为在操作上: 短线多单设置好自己的个人止损位后继续持有。前期中长线角度操作的老多单也继续持仓不动,等待美盘开盘后技术支持。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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