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Global Markets Analysis – 18 June 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


18.06.2015 周四 油脂商品短线角度的回落整理仍进行中

美盘豆油12月,昨日周三晚间冲高回落走势,今天周四亚洲早盘又阴K线下跌, 周二一天的红盘上涨被抹杀,短线角度的下探均线进行中,技术上符合我们的预期,调整仍未完全结束,继续观察下方的60天线的支撑力度。

内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601合约,周四早盘低开低走,中阴K线运行,期价下挫整理延续中,后市下方仍存在一定的回落空间,在调整未结束前,建议仍短空观点对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,周四开盘跳空低开,调整行情延续中。个人曾提到过马棕榈油技术上调整不够充分,虽然盘中多日表现为抵抗性下跌整理,但在美盘与内盘回落整理要求下,马盘独立抵抗也不现实,今天的走软,宣告回落调整未结束,符合的判研。

小结:油脂类商品短线的回落整理延续中,一日的红盘上涨不足以说明调整结束, 在技术上未出现明确的调整结束前,个人以短空观点对待。观点认为中长线操作者的长多短空,锁单操作模式继续执行,不轻易解锁以规避期价回落带来的风险。短线操作者的短线空单继续持有,待盘中出现真正的整理结束信号时方可平仓出局, 后市短线继续观察下方60天线位置的市场表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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