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Global Markets Analysis – 18 March 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


18.03.2016 周五 美盘豆油上破通道上轨;创8个月以来新高点

美盘豆油5月合约,昨日晚间长阳上涨收盘,期价上破原上升通道的上边轨的技术阻挡,同时也上破2015年12月7日高点。期价创2015年7月以来的新高,美盘豆油放量上涨正处于报复性高潮阶段,今天周五亚洲电子盘继续红盘运行中,我们延续谨慎中短多思路对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1609主力合约,昨日周四盘中红盘长阳上涨,今天周五早盘继续追随美盘走高,期价以创出2014年11月以来的高点,短线的强势特征较为明显,在美盘未出现滞涨前提下,继续短多思路对待内盘油脂商品。

马盘毛棕榈油基准6月,昨日周四盘中成交量创近期天量,呈增仓放量上行,多头主力进场拉升迹象明显,终盘以长阳上涨收盘。今天周五早盘,又继续追随美盘原油与美盘豆油走强影响而跳空高开运行,期价也创近10个月来新高,在上涨动能未衰竭前,我们继续短多思路对待。

小结:美元指数大幅回落,以美元计价商品压力骤然减轻,以美原油、美黄金、美豆油为代表的大宗商品普遍走强,短线的反弹上行走势出现加速迹象,以排山倒海 势如破竹之势上冲,期价均创近期新高点,我们前期报告所预测的观点得以实现,在盘面未出现变盘迹象前,我们继续保持短多观点不变。个人观点认为具体操作上:原中长线角度多单乐观持有。短线的反手新多单略微谨慎心态持有,下周继续关注油脂商品上涨过程中成交量的配合情况。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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