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Global Markets Analysis – 18 May 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


5.18周日 美盘豆油回落到区间下沿

本周, 大陆内盘、马盘油脂商品前半周出现反弹走势,上行高度虽然不高,但上行态势初步显露,由于美盘豆油迟迟未给出明确的指引,内盘、马盘周五皆阴K线收盘。

现在关键问题出在美盘上,由于美盘豆油未出现明显的技术信号,截止到周五,仍属于区间震荡范畴,周五的阴K线,令期价再次回归到区间整理的下沿部位,美豆油的走势就成为关键因素,若下破11天来的区间下沿,势必会传导到内盘、马盘油脂商品,因此美豆油下周的走势较为关键。

综述:单从内盘、马盘油脂商品来说,反弹走势在本周前几天却有走高的苗头,但由于美盘豆油未给出明确带动作用,令内盘、马盘周五走低。 操作思路上我们一定要密切关注美盘豆油的后市走势。个人观点是内盘、马盘多单持有,区间下沿位置设置成多单止损位,不破不动,下破则全部出局。下周焦点关注美盘豆油的后市具体表现。 均线空头排列下的反弹总是会出现一波三折走势,市场左右摇摆震荡,我们在谨慎同时,操作思路却是不能慌乱。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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