Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 18 May 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


18.05.2017 周四 美元指数大幅下挫 非美货币 贵金属黄金成为避险工具

国际时局动荡,据最新消息传闻:美国总统唐纳德.特朗普与俄罗斯外长在某次会谈中透漏“机密情报”,引发一些盟国对与美国共享军事情报产生信任危机——“泄密门”事件的发生,也令民众对弹劾特朗普的支持率上升到26%,更悲观人士甚至认为特朗普不能完成整个总统任期。在一片恐慌情绪氛围中,美元指数大幅下跌,甚至下跌到特朗普上台之前的低点,而非美货币欧元英镑贵金属黄金则大受追捧成为避险工具。油脂类商品整体受影响不大,美盘豆油7月合约,昨日晚间期价继续在60天均线位置波动震荡,但今日亚洲电子盘则出现高开低走疲软迹象。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,今天周四盘面出现“异动”,期价高开低走中阴K线表现,盘中空头主力主动进场打压迹象明显,不排除期价出现走软苗头。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月(7月),昨日周三盘中期价出现快速拔高现象,终盘以长阳上涨红盘报收,期价再上一个高度。由于外围市场周四盘面的疲软以及马来西亚令吉特的强势恐将抑制马盘棕榈油的后市高度(今日有小幅下挫可能)——在昨日急涨过程中执行我们提前制定的“逢高减仓”操作建议的散户朋友,平仓兑现完毕交易者可暂时场外观望。

小结:美元指数连续几日大幅下挫,金融市场恐慌情绪蔓延,避险资金出逃迹象或者寻找规避工具意识增强,大宗商品难免出现震荡。同时美盘豆油始终脱离不开60天均线位置,令我们谨慎心态加剧。我们接连几日报告中提及的遇急涨多单逢高减仓操作完成的散户朋友,平仓兑现出场后可暂时场外观望一下,没必要在混乱时期死缠乱打其中,同时密切关注美豆油在60天均线关键技术位置的后市表现情况(谨防在该位置受阻下挫)。

[SUMMARY]
• US dollar index continues to slide, as fear in financial markets exacerbates.
• Risk-averse capital is seeking the exit while the use hedging instruments has increased.
• Commodities are not spared from the ripple effect.
• US soybean oil is still unable to break away from the 60-day moving average.

[ACTION]
• Traders who had closed-out long position after the price surge may stay on the sidelines for the time being.
• We shall pay close attention to the 60-day moving average of US soybean oil.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock