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Global Markets Analysis – 18 November 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


18.11.2014 周二 油脂商品维持小幅波动

美盘豆油1月,昨日晚间小幅走高红盘报收,期价变化不大。当前美豆油周图表上已经连续13周维持横盘整理状态,其中在10月底曾出现长阳上冲,但上冲未果后再空头阻击下上冲以失败告终。这种横盘整理状态是要迟早被打破的,当前我们唯一能做的就是耐心观望。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1505合约,继续以时间换空间小幅低位整理,行情走势呈无序状,日图表均线系统趋于粘合,期价整体波动不大,成交量有所萎缩,行情不明朗场内观望气氛较浓。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,昨日依托40日均线支撑红盘上涨,今日高开高走小幅冲高,盘口语言表明,下跌抵抗明显但上行动力不足,受周边外围市场拖累较重。

美原油依然我行我素单边下挫,日图表上均线系统空头排列,层层均线压制下的国际原油上行阻力依然较大。

小结:油脂类商品整体依旧维持低位震荡,市场观望气氛浓厚,期价整体变化不大,多空主力依然未见明显动作。我们继续保持短线上的下探横盘整理观点不变。个人认为无仓者场外耐心观望,前期少量多单持有者持仓不动。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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