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Global Markets Analysis – 18 November 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


18.11.2015 周三 美盘豆油酝酿做多人气

美盘豆油12月合约,自从11月16日周一晚间小阳K线留有下影线后,昨日周二晚间又小阳收盘,虽然到目前错列上涨幅度不大,但隐隐中有一股上行欲望(若下方空间被封杀则突破方向必定向上),建议耐心等待美豆油突破上方60天均线的技术压力。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油1601合约,连续几日横盘抵抗,昨日周二盘中小阳带下影收盘,期价在60天线处震荡纠缠,始终不肯扩大跌幅,表明下方有一定的技术支撑,仅带美盘技术走高上支持。内盘棕榈油1601短线走势较弱,期价下挫性质寻底,正在考验前低8月27日 4078点位的支撑。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,当前期价3天快速回落到下方60天均线处。2220一线的支撑继续接受考验,由于前期马棕榈短线走势要强于美盘内盘油脂,现在出现受利空因素影响的短线的快速回落行情,表现出马棕榈独立行情特征的一面。

小结:全球油脂类商品继续在纠结中震荡寻底,期价短线的下跌幅度与具体走势略有不同,正在步调上调整趋于一致。我们继续关注美盘豆油的反弹上行欲望何时展开。个人观点认为中短长各类多单继续持有,下方回落空间不大,继续保持探底结束后的反弹上行机会。(美盘大豆一年中收获尾声阶段;必定是油脂类商品的底部区域;继续保持该思维观点不变)。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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