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Global Markets Analysis – 18 September 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


9.18日 周四 反弹延续 油脂多单继续持有

美盘豆油12月,在2根长阳上涨后,期价短暂整理2天,虽期价上行速度减慢,但反弹态势未出现结束信号,短线仍以反弹上行观点看待美豆油后市走势。

大陆内盘油脂商品中豆油1501与棕榈油1501合约,仍在前期平台箱体上沿部位震荡,盘中存在向上突破的欲望,但完全有效的突破力度还不明显,若再久攻不破,则存在演变成继续右侧横盘的可能。

马来西亚毛棕榈油基准11月,昨日继续挑战40天线的阻挡(2130一线),截止到昨天北京时间下午6点收盘前20分钟内,马盘毛棕榈油仍在2130一线徘徊, 在收盘前最后一分钟,260手买盘出现,期价瞬间从2130上窜至2141令吉收盘,盘终最后时刻完成40天线的突破,以光头中阳K线收盘。今天周四早盘,期价在突破关键技术位阻挡(我们预期的第一目标)后继续上攻,大有挑战上方60天线的欲望(第二目标),下方的短期均线已经出现上穿迹象,9月2日以来的短线反弹行情延续中。

小结:美盘豆油低位探底回升走势延续中,马盘毛棕榈油短线反弹行情延续中,大陆内盘箱体上沿位置积蓄能量的震荡整理延续中,整体内外盘短线上的上攻欲望均存在,在未出现明显反弹结束信号前,我们短线反弹观点保持不变。个人观点认为前期接盘换手多单继续持有。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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