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Global Markets Analysis – 19 December 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


19.12.2016 周一 内盘油脂商品中阳上涨 ;恐将提振美盘豆油近期走强

美盘豆油3月合约(当前主力合约),期价继续围绕20天均线做回落整理状态势, 期价连续几天横盘于该技术部位,短线出现稍微的止跌迹象,期待美盘豆油也主线转强迹象。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1705主力合约,今天周一早盘双双高开高走中阳上涨,其中豆油1705合约,一根中阳K线突破了原先“强势整理”的横盘区间的上沿,该上沿压力位的被向上突破-表明内盘油脂商品反身转强走势趋于明朗,我们以反手后短多思维对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月(当前为主力合约),未受上周五的阴K线影响,期价继续震荡性走高,这种强势特征-完全有理由让我们看高一线。

小结:美盘油脂商品短线回落整理仍进行中,但在供应基本面已经完全明朗后,后市市场炒作已经转移到需求基本面上来-在中国大陆元旦与春节传统假期强烈消费需求心理作用影响下,恐美盘豆油也将被激发出上涨积极性,我们对包括马盘棕榈油在内的整体油脂类商品转为短多思路看待。观点具体操作上:回落整理时候的短线空单止损离场后,反手新进多单以持有。当前油脂类商品反身上行走势特征明显(特别是内盘与马盘反身扭转动作更为明显),后市短线我们看高一线。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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