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Global Markets Analysis – 19 December 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


19.12.2017周二油脂商品市场一股无形力量在压制市场盘面

美盘豆油3月合约(1月),昨日周一晚间期价小阴K线下跌,期价继续在趋势线支撑位置徘徊震荡(往右侧延伸),期价始终不能脱离该区域。市场被一股无形的“力量”所左右,技术面的走强欲望被压制,我们继续保持密切关注。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1805主力合约(1801),在美盘豆油迟迟不能给予明确指引情况下,昨日的强势特征在今天又瞬间变为弱势,期价呈现无序的波动震荡,内盘油脂商品在继续“夯实”超跌之后的“底部”。

马盘毛棕榈油基准2月,上周五长阳上涨之后(半年来单日最大涨幅),在昨日周一盘面未得到继续支持(但阳K线右上角的小整理也说的过去),但今天周二盘面,期价再度下跌——令前2日的强势“昙花一现”。

小结:美盘豆油短线走势不明朗,多头主力内心万分“纠结”,市场呈现疲弱的右侧横盘走势—–始终不能对内盘马盘油脂商品给予有力支持。这在一定程度上影响到内盘马盘市场的表现。我们散户朋友也只能静静场内观望了。操作上:在美盘豆油未下破趋势线支撑前,前期多单继续谨慎持有, 继续关注美盘豆油的后市表现,除此之外,别无他法。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil appears weak, as momentum of long interest wanes.
• US soybean oil continues to move within range, failing to give a boost to China and Malaysia edible oils.
• Until a downtrend in US soybean oil becomes visible, traders may retain long positions.

[ACTION]
• We shall pay close attention to the performance of US soybean oil.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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