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Global Markets Analysis – 19 February 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


19.02.2016 周五 油脂类商品多空主力均谨慎;期价呈小幅波动震荡走势

美盘豆油5月合约,期价小幅波动,虽然盘中量能略显不足,但前期整体的反弹上行走势仍延续中,我们继续保持谨慎心态短多看待。美盘原油继续在60天均线位置暂时受到技术阻挡,密切关注原油期价对油脂类商品的影响。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,短线角度依旧表现为棕榈强而豆油弱,在美盘豆油在前高关键技术位置未给出明确答案前(突破还是阻挡?),内盘油脂商品走势谨慎,盘中成交不活跃,期价小幅波动,多空主力均未发力,我们继续持保守态度短多看待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,期价波动收窄,依旧在跳空缺口上方运行,抵抗性小幅反弹波动震荡,整体期价变化不大,在无任何不利盘面出现前,我们同样以短线的短多观点看低。

小结:美盘豆油小幅波动,尚未给油脂商品做出明确的方向性指引,油脂类商品普遍保持谨慎走势。多空主力观望情绪较浓。建议散户朋友也不盲目操作,暂且以谨慎心态短多看待。观点认为操作上:中长线多单持有,短线多单谨慎持有。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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