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Global Markets Analysis – 19 June 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


19.06.2015 周五 内盘端午节放假三天

昨日周四晚间美盘豆油12合约,中阴K线下跌,期价靠近下方60天线左右,今天上午亚洲电子盘美豆油小阳收涨,60天均线的支撑效力考验中,6月5日以来的回落整理到今天已经进行了11个交易日,短线来说美豆油进入到调整阶段的尾声。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,二品种也离下方的60天线不远,该位置恐将出现本波回落整理的技术支撑,因此建议在后市靠近该位置时候可短线空单逢低平仓了结出局。内盘未来三天传统假期端午节将放假三天(20、21、22日)下周二23日开盘。

马盘毛棕榈油基准9月合约,昨日低开低走中阴,今日低开高走小阳,期价靠近下方40天均线,跌幅略小于内盘与美盘。考虑到美盘与内盘已经非常接近下方60天线,因此建议不可再对马盘毛棕榈油期价看的很低。下周初时分,时刻准备短线空单平仓离场。小结:油脂类商品回落整理延续中,但技术观察已经临近本波下挫整理的尾声阶段,后市不再考虑跌幅有多大。个人观点认为中长线多空锁单者于下周初出现止跌企稳信号后空单开锁-平仓离场。短线角度的短空激进操作者,在下方60天均线处,同样逢低平仓空单。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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