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Global Markets Analysis – 19 June 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


19.06.2017 周一美盘豆油触及反弹第一心理目标位

美盘豆油7月,在上周末时分连续2根阳K线上攻,60天均线的技术阻挡已经被踩在脚下(短线多头获胜 空头阻击宣告失败),今天周一亚洲电子盘继续红盘表现,当前期价已经临近5月22日前高附近(32.40–32.50位置),该位置是我们此前预期的第一反弹目标位置, 到达前高之后期价难免会有所反复(毕竟前次期价下挫就是从该位置滑落下来的),因此我们心理上要提前有个准备。是否前高继续被上破则成为本周我们所关注的重点。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,在美盘豆油反弹上涨提振下,今天周一早盘,内盘豆油棕榈油双双延续红盘上涨,短线的反弹上行走势延续中,内盘棕榈油期价今日也站于60天均线上方,前期低位多单继续持有。

马盘毛棕榈油基准9月(或8月),上周四低位长阳飙涨,上周五跳空高开,今天6月19日周一,期价继续跳空高开,截止到目前11点30分小阳K线表现,今天期价也开始站于60天均线上方,短线反弹上行走势良好。

小结:全球油脂类商品短线反弹上行走势行情延续中,部分品种处于期价上涨加速阶段,我们继续保持短多观点不变(但要谨防随后几日期价出现反复现象)。具体操作上:前期低位多单继续持有。 部分激进型交易者可待盘中出现上涨加速时分逢高兑现利润(部分兑现),而稳健型交易者不建议该操作(多单继续持有),后市我们关注的焦点将转移到本波反弹上行的高度上来(本波反弹高度到底会多高??美盘已经临近前高而内盘马盘尚未达到)。

[SUMMARY]
• Global edible oils stage a rebound and surge ahead.
• We maintain a short-term long position outlook.

[ACTION]
• Traders may retain long position.
• Aggressive traders may take profit when the uptrend accelerates.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 





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