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Global Markets Analysis – 19 November 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


19.11.2015 周四 油脂类商品下探寻底过程延续中 进度略显缓慢而漫长

美盘豆油1月合约,当前期价仍在低位震荡徘徊,波动幅度较小,日内操作成交量萎缩,盘中走势变化不大。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,今天周四盘中期价小阴下跌,期价面临前低考验,整体来说仍处于震荡小幅滑落寻底过程中。

马盘毛棕榈油基准2月,期价仍在60天均线位置波动,短线走势震荡中等待盘面的新变化。

小结:全球油脂类商品整体在低价区域波动,日内波动幅度收窄,短线的下探寻底过程延续中,从各类商品合约的正向排列情况分析,远月合约价值均比近月合约要高,因此我们依旧有理由相信,未来后市的发展方向仍有反弹上行的预期。继续等待止跌企稳后的上行机会。观点认为操作上:无仓者继续场外观望。已持有多单操作者继续持有,后市运行轨迹仍以下探后的反弹上行观点看待,仍不建议追空操作。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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