Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 19 October 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


19.10.2015 周一 中国国家统计局GDP数据公布

中国国家统计局周一(10月19日)公布的数据显示,第三季度国内生产总值(GDP)较上年同期增长6.9%,强于预期的6.8%,但增速低于前第一与第二季度的7%。从数据显示中国经济增速略有回落,但整体仍处于合理范围内。

从今天上午大陆内盘期货市场盘面观察,黄金与白银贵金属商品部分多头主力在中国数据公布之后出现逢高减仓迹象,有色金属市场如上海铜与锌品种也有不同程度小幅下跌。橡胶市场空头主力增仓打压迹象明显。整体大宗商品市场短线出现走弱。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,今天周一早盘期价仍顽强在反弹高位震荡,虽未出现明显的走弱迹象,但考虑到前期反弹震荡上行已经时间不短, 不排除后市有短线获利盘平仓行为,建议操作上延续上周五我们的操作思维:逢高减仓为宜。

美盘黄豆小幅下挫,美盘豆油12月合约仍在60天线处震荡徘徊,美豆油对当前全球整体油脂商品的短线方向指引表现不明显。

马盘毛棕榈油基准12月,在前期发力反弹迅猛上行冲高之后,经过4天快速下挫回落整理,当前期价小幅走高之后又连续4天横盘震荡,整体观察当前走势仍属于回落整理短线行情,期价波幅变窄,交投略显清淡,可操作价值依然不高,仍建议场外观望。

小结:期货市场大宗商品整体出现多头减仓迹象。油脂类商品虽然当前表现不明显, 但在美盘豆油延续的徘徊犹豫波动中,正在考验多头主力的持续信心,为防止多头短线获利盘涌出,建议散户操作者可提前逢高适当减持内盘原有多单,以规避期价下滑风险。马盘散户操作者在市场行情不明朗的这几天,耐心等待随后的10月下旬这段时间结束,可继续短线场外观望,不建议盲目操作。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock