Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 19 September 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong

19.09.2016 周一 内盘与马盘公共假期期间;美盘油脂商品期价下行意愿不强烈




小结:美国大豆收割在即,有消息称过多的降雨将对收获有一定的不利影响。南美巴西方面新一季的大豆种植开始,由于巴西玉米价格飙涨,新大豆的播种面积恐将减少(收获一吨玉米;大豆将需要用三倍的土地面积),在基本面情况多空因素参杂不清,在美国最终的农业部报告出炉前,我们继续保持对油脂类商品短线的回落波动震荡观点不变,其中由于美盘豆油多运行交易了几个交易日,因此在回落整理上就表现的较为充分一些,我们继续关注美盘豆油小3浪的调整结束信号的出现, 时刻准备短线空单离场而多单低位跟进的机会。观点认为具体交易上:中长线多单继续谨慎持有,短线空单与中线多单形成锁仓,激进交易者暂时场外观望,耐心等待油脂商品盘面走势上的新的变化。

• Excessive rainfall may adversely affect the harvest of U.S soybeans.
• Growing of soybeans in Brazil may be reduced to allow for cultivation of corn, which is experiencing a surge in prices.
• Closing-out of short-term short trades is anticipated. There may be opportunities to enter long trades at low prices.

• Traders may maintain medium and long-term long positions.
• Traders may enter a spread trade comprised of a short-term short position and a medium-term long position.
• Aggressive traders may sit on the sidelines, as they wait for a new trend to develop.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


Share and Enjoy:
[] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here


OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.