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Global Markets Analysis – 2 January 2018

A commentary written by Tony Tong

02.01.2018周二新年新气象 内盘油脂2018年首个交易日红盘上涨

美盘油脂商品昨日1月1号,因新年假期停盘未交易。美豆油3月上周四晚间中阴K线下跌,令局势瞬间紧张起来,而上周五又中阳K线上涨—-美豆油仍在关键技术位附近多空主力“拉锯战”仍进行中, 美豆油短线走势没有新意,我们继续以保守的超跌之后的技术反弹观点对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品 豆油 棕榈油1805主力合约,今天是2018年的第一个交易日,内盘油脂“异军突起”,率先红盘上涨,我们继续短多观点对待, 前期多单继续持有。

马盘期货市场昨日也因公共假期停盘未交易, 考虑到在今天内盘红盘上扬表现提振下,马盘毛棕榈油基准3月期价恐将走高, 其实在12月22日起,马盘棕榈油已经出现超跌之后的“低位拐点”反弹苗头, 我们继续短多思维对待。

小结:昨日1月1号为新年假期,美盘 内盘 马盘均停盘未交易。 今天1月2日,内盘油脂商品率先红盘上涨表现,盘面减仓上行—–空头主力减仓离场迹象明显,我们保持短多思维不变。 具体操作上:假期前所有多单继续持有,部分仓位略轻的散户交易者,可适量多单补仓,摊薄一下多单持仓成本,后市短线我们看高一线(短线反弹观点对待)。

• US, China and Malaysia market closed on yesterday as New Year holiday (01/01/2018).
• Today market opening, China edible oils moved upward with decreasing volume, indicating the selling pressure is weakening.
• Our short-term long outlook remains as the market is expected to move northward.

• Traders may retain long positions.
• Retail traders may add-on long positions today, as the market is expected to rebound higher.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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