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Global Markets Analysis – 2 July 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


7.2 周三 利空消息影响下,商品继续回落

在美国农业部利空消息影响下,油脂商品空头氛围浓厚,期价继续保持触顶(触压力)回落走势,美盘6月30日的长阴K 线已令短线形态完全走坏,后市仍有下行空间。

大陆内盘油脂商品昨天早盘跳空低开,期价大幅回落,技术形态走坏,后市以看空观点对待。

马来西亚毛棕榈油,未能突破原下降趋势线的阻挡,在趋势线上方仅仅维持2日,最终再次选择延续回落走势,原反弹行情被夭折,期价存在再次考验6月12日2361低点的要求,若该点被下破 ,后市将会出现新低。

小结:油脂类商品利空氛围弥漫,期价出现大幅下跌,从今天早盘盘面观察,触压回落行情延续中,后市保持短线看空观点。个人认为在操作上,昨天提示到空单遇盘中急跌可先平,待盘中短暂高点再空进,对当前恐慌行情来说此操作模式较为适宜。后市短线上仍以逢高短空操作为上。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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