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Global Markets Analysis – 20 April 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


20.04.2015 周一 油脂商品均线系统转换进行中

美盘原油周一早盘仍在58.00美元/桶一线震荡,美盘大豆与美盘豆油7月合约周一早盘继续红盘运行,从美盘油脂类商品观察,从低位的短线反弹走势仍延续中,短线角度的上行动能未出现衰竭技术信号。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1509主力合约,周一早盘中阳上涨,盘中多单接盘仍较踊跃,期价的抬升令短期均线上穿长期均线进行中,当前5日均线已经上穿60天均线成功,日图表上原空头排列的均线系统是否能转换为多头排列,尚待我们盘中的继续观察。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月合约,今天周一早盘继续高开,但盘中成交量未给予有效支持,表明马盘多头主力略显犹豫,进场跟盘不够踊跃,但在全球油脂类商品期价共进退的大环境心理背景影响下,个人认为马盘短线后市走势仍存补涨心理预期。

小结:美元指数短线冲高回落整理,全球油脂商品短线反弹,虽油脂商品短线走势幅度不尽相同,但地位接盘(技术支撑位)多单在市场未出现走坏前,建议继续保持短线反弹上行走高观点。个人建议前期地位接盘多单设置好止损后继续持仓不动,耐心观察均线系统的转换过程。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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