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Global Markets Analysis – 20 January 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


20.01.2015 周二 美盘豆油延续平台横盘震荡

美豆油3月合约 短线角度继续保持震荡下的无趋势区间内盘整行情,从更长周期观察(周图表),美豆油已经连续22周横盘震荡,月图表上在上升趋势线技术支撑位徘徊,正在反复验证该支撑的有效性,若后市验证支撑有效,行情的运行方向只能选择向上。

在美盘豆油短线震荡同时,大陆内盘油脂商品表现为短线的下挫整理走势,豆油与棕榈油1505合约,昨天盘中短线出现急挫下跌,随后快速收起,创新低后留下影线,表明内盘下挫探底寻支撑过程延续中,逢低点短线空单遇急挫适量减仓。今天周二早盘期价小幅震荡,成交量萎缩,盘中交投清淡,市场观望气氛较浓。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,在上周五长阴K线下跌之后,周一高开低走,今天低开高走。在前期连续独立反弹上行之后,短线冲高回落的整理迹象明显,目前期价整体仍维持在11月3日的前高附近。

小结:美盘豆油箱体平台震荡,内盘下挫寻底整理,马盘冲高回落波动。三地油脂类商品短线走势略有分化。我们继续保持长线筑大底观点不变。个人观点认为逢急挫短线空单平仓离场,建议长线操作者继续观望。密切关注美盘豆油在箱体内的表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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