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Global Markets Analysis – 20 July 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


20.07.2015 周一 美元指数反弹上行;全球大宗商品承压;油脂类商品震荡

美元指数短线反弹上行,震荡性盘升至前高(5月27日高点附近),全球大宗商品整体依然下行压力较重。国际原油市场承压,其中纽约原油期价震荡小幅下挫,短线走势呈横盘状微跌,连续多日的以时间换空间下滑,短线可操作性不强。

美盘黄豆在前期连续反弹上行之后,短线出现冲高回落走势,短线的回落整理进行中。美盘豆油12月合约上周五晚间红盘中阳上涨,今天周一亚洲电子早盘追随美盘大豆下跌,期价在前低(7月8日)附近震荡,短线的回落走势明显,密切关注前低位置是否被下破。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,周一早盘期价继续小幅波动,在短线走势上与美盘豆油继续产生分歧,并未出现像美盘那样回落幅度较深,盘中依然可以看到多头顽强抵抗痕迹。但内盘豆粕品种追随美盘黄豆出现了冲高回落苗头。

马盘毛棕榈油基准10月,上周五停盘,今天周一早盘开盘后,受外围周边市场下跌走势影响早盘低开,期价小幅下挫,盘中交投不旺,市场观望气氛较浓,成交不活跃,等待美盘的进一步短线走势指引。

小结:油脂类商品今天周一早盘,市场投资者人气低迷,美盘短线走势的不明确,令内盘与马盘操作者交易意愿不强,市场在等待进一步的美盘短线走势方向性指引。个人继续保持谨慎态度,以静制动观察油脂商品的整体动向。观点建议场外观望与不频繁操作,原多单持有者继续持仓不动。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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