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Global Markets Analysis – 20 March 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


20.03.2015 周五 美元指数短线宽幅震荡;油脂商品跟随波动

美元指数周三时候长阴下跌拉开回落整理序幕信号,昨日又中阳红盘上涨,短线的整理波动较大。今天周五将延续整理走势。美元指数的宽幅波动,令期货市场各类商品走势不稳和均出现波动。

当前期货市场中油脂类商品基本面真空,各类消息无新意。油脂商品的短线走势完全受美元指数和国际原油的影响,呈现出典型的技术走势。其中美盘豆油5月合约,在前低附近略有支撑,周三时候中阳上涨,虽昨日十字星阴K线收盘,但止跌迹象初步显现,今天周五早盘亚洲电子盘继续阴K线后十字星波动,但我们继续保持在前低附近接盘多单观点不变。

大陆内盘豆油与棕榈油1509主力合约,周三时候低位小阳十字星收盘,周四的跳空高开中阳K线上涨收盘,十字星的短线拐点走势更为明显,(十字星左侧下挫;十字星右侧发力上行)后市短线仍不排除继续演绎右侧上行的行情。

马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,周三从低位长阳收起后,昨天和今天在阳K线右上角短线整理,同样存在酝酿右侧走势的可能。

小结:当前油脂商品完全呈技术走势特征明显,基本面消息真空,短线受美元指数与美原油影响成分较大。技术观察美豆油5月,在30.00一线接盘多单是我们一直以来的操作理念,在盘面未严重破坏这一关键技术支撑位之前,我们继续保持这观点不变。个人观点认为昨日建议多单试盘跟进,今天逢盘中低点继续少量多单跟进,多单止损位就放在前低点下方X点,(X点依据个人进单量与心理承受能力的不同,自行设置,破前低止损,而不破接盘多单持有。建议散户朋友只要有了明确的操作计划,任由盘面波动,心中不慌),我们后市短线依旧以技术型做双重底观点看待。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 










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