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Global Markets Analysis – 20 May 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong

5.20 周二 美盘出现下破 内盘马盘犹豫


内盘、马盘油脂商品前期虽然出现反弹苗头,但由于没有得到美盘豆油的支持,近3天来出现期价下挫,反弹走势被中断,其中大陆内盘棕榈油1409合约,今天早盘期价已经跌破原来的整理区间下沿,内盘豆油1409合约和 马盘毛棕榈油7月 期价再次触及到整理区间的下沿位置,其中马毛棕榈油7月,期价又来到2560一线,行情变得玄妙起来,考虑到美盘豆油已经下破,不排除内盘、马盘油脂商品再次出现下探寻找支撑,再次凝聚做多人气的可能。

小结:由于内、外盘油脂商品短线再次出现走坏迹象,后市不排除还有一个下蹲的动作。对于市场上这种不连贯走势,我们也没有更好办法,只能跟随市场变化。个人观点是,5月8号到12号所进接盘多单,部分已经触及到区间整理的下沿止损位,这种情况下严格执行操作计划多单出局。 激进短线操作者可反手少量空单尝试进场,日内短线操作,不建议空单过夜持仓。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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