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Global Markets Analysis – 21 April 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


21.04.2017 周五 美盘豆油期价又临近到横盘整理的区间上沿技术位置

美盘豆油7月合约,短线低位的横盘整理已经持续很久了(快一个月了),低位窄幅波动区间在31.20—32.20区间范围内,该横盘区间是迟早要被打破的。本周一中阳上攻不成功,而周二中阴下跌也未成立—–当前期价再度靠近区间整理的上沿位置,既然周二的下破未成立,我们继续期待上破的可能。

内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,昨日周四盘中小阳K线表现,在美盘豆油未能给出短线突破方向指引前,指望单独内盘油脂商品走强还不现实,只有美豆油能站上32.20以上价格(越远越好 ),内盘多头主力才会真正发力,继续关注美盘豆油的表现。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,在周三低位小阳十字星之后,昨日周四盘中跳空中阳上涨,今天周五盘面上又继续红盘表现,马棕榈期价短线出现走高欲望,我们继续保持下挫之后的低位技术拐点观点对待。

小结:美盘豆油面临横盘区间的短线角度的方向性突破——内盘马盘油脂商品在等待美豆油的短线方向指引,而我们继续以中线角度下挫之后的低位酝酿技术拐点观点不变。具体操作上:前期多单继续持仓不动,密切关注美盘豆油的后续表现。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean is anticipating for a short-term breakout of the sideway range, as China and Malaysia edible oils wait for a clear signal.
• We outlook remains: seeking a technical low point.

[ACTION]
• Traders may continue holding long position and observe the performance of US soybean oil.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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