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Global Markets Analysis – 21 August 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


8.21 周四 黎明前的黑暗 场外休息

美盘豆油昨晚收带上下影线的小阳K线,已经连续三四天低位右侧横盘震荡,虽然未出现“长下影 ”或者“长阳包多阴”的单日“反转”K线,但短线上经过前期急促暴跌后隐隐有些许止跌迹象,该迹象虽然盘面体现的还不是足够明显,但令前期市场恐慌情绪有所缓解。

大陆内盘豆油1501合约,在前几日快速下跌后,本周一到今天已经4天阳十字星出现,盘中多头低位抵抗迹象较为明显。棕榈油1501合约,走势弱于豆油,仍惯性延续前期的下跌走势,短线的下探寻支撑尚未完美结束。

马来西亚毛棕榈油此时恰逢生产高峰期,这对期货市场棕榈油期价影响较大。毛棕榈油基准11月,本周走势截止到今天周四,已经连续4连阴,市场弱势格局下惯性下行态势较为明显,盘面显示下方仍未出现较为明显的技术支撑位,短线的下探延续中。

小结:截止到今天周四,油脂商品依然保持弱势格局下的惯性下行走势,虽有些许止跌信号,但信号还不明显,不足以改变盘面下探势头(好比开车,有了刹车迹象,车速有所减慢,但仍未完全停下)。短线观点上我们继续保持看空观点不变,个人看法是我们仍以看空不做空操作模式对待。场外观望休息也是期货市场不可或缺的一部分。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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