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Global Markets Analysis – 22 April 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


22.04.2015 周三 油脂类商品短线走势出现分化

纽约原油昨日晚间期价下挫,出现短线冲高回落苗头,今天早盘期价继续下跌,美原油短线存在技术走坏苗头。

美盘豆油7月合约,周三亚洲电子早盘期价也出现走低,前期短线低位小幅走强后,在期价刚刚站于上方60天线后,是否完全走坏今天一个交易日的表现尚不能完全下结论,后市将考验下方均线支撑力度的表现。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1509主力合约,在前期震荡持续短线走强之后,周三早盘受外围市场的走弱影响期价出现剧烈震荡,形成带上下影线的阴十字星K线,盘中部分多头出现逢高减仓动作。补充:4月22日中国国家粮油信息中心消息,截止4月21日,全国主要港口棕榈油库存约为42万吨, 比一周前的39万吨略有恢复,上月同期库存为45万吨。

马盘毛棕榈油基准6月合约,该品种前期的市场表现一直较弱,在美盘与内盘期价反弹时候,马盘棕榈油上涨动能严重不足,市场做多人气涣散。今天周三早盘,在美盘原油走弱影响下,马棕榈油出现快速下跌,表明当前基本面仍不具备支持马盘棕榈油反弹上行的动能。当前马盘毛棕榈油基准6月合约受阻上方60天线技术阻挡位。

小结:美原油昨日走软,美盘豆油走势模糊,大陆内盘油脂虽然连续几日走强,但唯恐孤掌难鸣。当前三地品种油脂商品走势略有分化,内盘在60天线上方稍远处,马盘在60天线下方受阻挡不过,美盘在60天线中间位置,短线油脂商品的走势又出现微妙。建议操作上前期多单再多持仓一天,观察一下明天市场的具体表现再下结论。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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