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Global Markets Analysis – 22 August 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


8.22 周五 美盘内盘略微止跌 唯马盘惯性下探

今天周末,期货市场油脂类商品今天走势和昨天极度相似,盘面走势无任何新意,多空主力胶着在一起,市场无明显方向性指引,油脂商品更多的是低位小幅度整理,日内期价变化不大。美盘豆油12月又出现右侧小平台横盘雏形,技术观察下方的下行空间悄悄被封杀。

大陆内盘豆油1501合约已经低位横盘整理5天,5天来呈现5颗小红十字星,短线止跌迹象最为明显,但上行反弹动能尚未被激发。内盘棕榈油1501合约3天横盘,短线走势既没豆油强也没马盘棕榈油弱。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月本周油脂类商品中表现最弱品种,截止到周五上午,已经连续5连阴惯性下跌,盘中无丝毫止跌迹象。期价在中短线下降趋势格局下沿空头排列的均线压制作用下继续保持下探行情,显示出马盘毛棕榈油独立个性的一面。

小结:油脂商品类盘面无新变化,更多的表现小幅度震荡走势。我们在短线周期角度看空观点不变的前提下,已经停止了继续做空的操作模式好几天了,这种状况应该不会很长久,在严重超卖的各项技术要求面前,下周反弹要求会越来越强烈。个人观点是继续保持观望。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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