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Global Markets Analysis – 22 August 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


22.08.2017周二油脂类商品昨日短线反手多单继续持有

美盘豆油12月合约,昨日周一晚间又阳K线上涨表现,已经“四连阳”——昨日晚间的上影响,表明经过短线快速拉升之后,期价上涨存在一定的压力(短线分时图上涨速度过快,需要小幅整理),只要小阴K线的下挫幅度不要太大,我们继续保持短多观点不变。

最新消息—-中央环境保护督察组将陆续进驻山东省,严格的环境督情况令山东油脂商品加工企业小心谨慎,已经有部分豆油加工企业紧急停工。山东地区以及周边省市(比如河南省)豆油价格有140—160元/吨的涨幅。此次环保检查为期9个月(2017.6.28日—2018.3.31日),督查1个月。对山东周边省市来说,严厉的环境督查令油脂加工企业小心翼翼,这提振周边豆油商品价格。内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1801主力合约,三天三连阳后,今天周二盘面小阴K线表现,短线出现调整迹象,但不会影响震荡上涨的短多态势,我们继续保持短多观点。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,昨日周一阳K线上涨,“四连阳”走势稳健,期价上坡前高点(2702—2705令吉特),并创出近5个月来新高点。考虑到美盘内盘短线出现整理,恐马盘棕榈也将出现一个小幅整理动作,激进交易者可逢高多单平仓,待阴K线低点位置再接回多单(只针对短线操作手法熟练交易者),而稳健型交易可不必此操作,前高附近的震荡波动是在所难免。

小结:油脂类商品短线反身上涨,期价上扬速度迅捷,连续红盘上涨之后的小幅整理动作不可避免,只要期价下挫幅度不大—–我们则继续短多思维对待。具体操作上:短线多单可继续持有,部分交易者可滚动操作一下,整理过后期价仍有见新高可能。

[SUMMARY]
• Global edible oils rebounded and moved upward.
• The downward correction of the global edible oils can’t be avoided after edible oils increased consecutively for a few days.
• We remain short-term long outlook as long as the downward correction is not much.

[ACTION]
• Traders may retain long positions as edible oils may rise to the new high.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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