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Global Markets Analysis – 22 July 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


7.22日周二 油脂商品 多空主力均趋于谨慎

美国大豆主产区天气情况理想,对大豆产量的良好预期令美黄豆连期价走低。美盘豆油走势仍处于震荡下探态势中,虽下跌幅度收窄,却仍未出现明显反身动作信号。

大陆内盘油脂商品周二上午继续保持下滑,豆油1501合约低开收小阳,盘中未见明显探底成功技术信号。棕榈油1501合约,低开低走创新低5592,上午以带下影线小阴收盘,今天上午出现的下影线表明下方有部分多头进场接盘的苗头,是否为金针探底尚待一、二日的验证。

马盘毛棕榈油基准10月,继续延续昨天走势,十字星状震荡,交投清淡期价变化不大,整体仍处于短线的平台横盘整理状态。方向性和可操作性均不强。

小结:在美盘喋喋不休的下探过程尚未寻找到真正支撑之前,大陆内盘和马盘跟随性下行或横盘整理。多空主力操作都趋于谨慎,交投略显清淡。之前我们多提醒,市场行情走到目前位置,再继续追空不宜,而反手做多也没出现明显的技术信号,这是个敏感时期。个人看法是操作上:多空均不操作,等待明确的反弹信号出现后再进场不迟。密切关注本周随后几天的市场表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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