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Global Markets Analysis – 22 July 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


22.07.2015 周三 美元指数昨日冲高回落;后市恐将短线回落整理

美盘豆油12月合约,昨日周二晚间小幅上涨,7月8日的地点始终未被下破,说明该位置技术支撑有一定效果。昨日美豆油的上涨,令前3天的横盘状态被打破,若后市再有一根中阳上涨K线出现,则后市短线的反弹上行可以期待。

大陆内盘油脂商品与豆油棕榈油1601合约,昨天中阳K线的上涨,表明多头主力仍然在顽强抵抗,但由于是在日图表上60天均线下方运行,期价始终不能有效放大上行幅度,继续关注美盘豆油对它的指引作用。

马盘毛棕榈油基准10月,昨日盘中同样出现中阳上涨,期价再次临近上方60天均线的阻挡位,此前一直强调,该位置是关键技术位,只有期价站其上面,才能形成反弹上行的短线走势。马盘毛棕榈依然在等待美盘与内盘油脂商品的短线走势支持。

小结:美元指数昨日晚间冲高回落,终盘以中阴K线下跌收盘,若短线再出现一根下跌K线,则短线的回落整理行情将要展开。美元指数的下跌,令大宗商品下行压力减轻。其中油脂类商品上短线上仍有技术反弹要求,仅仅是没有基本面消息的配合,令油脂商品短线走势出现模糊。个人观点上依旧保持短多观点,反弹行情会一触而发。个人建议中长短操作周期上不同的原有多单继续持有,依旧以静制动与静观盘面新的变化。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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